A. General Description
Consumer Tendency index (ITK) is an indicator of current consumer economic development Central Bureau of statistics generated through Consumer Tendency Survey (STK). ITK is an index which describes economic conditions in consumer quarterly runs and upcoming quarterly estimates.
Respondents STK starting quarter I-2015 was chosen at the Census block level categories medium and high and is subsampel from the national socio-economic Survey (Susenas) specialized in urban areas. The selection of the sample was done in panels between quarterly in order to obtain a more accurate picture regarding consumer perception changes between time. At the same time also made refinements to the questionnaire and how to index calculation.
B. economic condition Consumer Quarterly IV-2015
ü Consumer Tendency Index (ITK) Papua on Quarter IV-2015 of 111.72; This means that the consumer is improving economic conditions compared to the previous quarter.
ü Improving economic conditions consumers are driven by the increase in household income (117.43 index value), the low level of inflation against the influence of consumption (102.72 index value) and the increasing consumption of households (109.52 index value).
C. Economic Forecasts Quarterly Consumer I-2016
ü the value of ITK Papua in Quarter I-estimated at 95.58 2016; This means that the economic conditions of the consumer in the coming quarter are expected to decline.
ü Decrease consumer economic conditions on I-2016 Quarter estimated to occur due to a decrease in household income (value index 97.23) and decrease in the estimates plans the purchase of durable goods, along with recreation and party/celebration gift consumer (92.68 index value).
